Predict your store demand
Know how much you will sell in the coming days, how much stock to order from your supplier and when to run a promotion without running out of product. Error margins calculated from your own sales, not industry averages.
Only available within Shopify Admin.
Quality Shield
Before each prediction, Forecast reviews your store sales history and classifies it with a quality traffic light: green, yellow or red. If the data is not sufficient, the engine does not run and no credit is consumed. Every credit spent produces a usable result.
Green
Your store has a solid history. The prediction engine runs and you receive the complete forecast with three scenarios (conservative, central and optimistic) and the real error margin calculated on your own history. 1 credit is consumed because it produces a usable result.
SBC Classification, Syntetos-Boylan-Croston 2005. ADI and CV² metrics on real store data.
Red
Your store does not yet have enough history for a reliable forecast. The engine does not run and no credit is consumed. Your credits stay in your balance, waiting. When your history reaches the required level we will email you so you can use them.
Lumpy category in the SBC classification, or history below the engine minimum. High intermittency and high variability simultaneously.
Yellow
Your store has enough history to forecast. You receive the complete forecast with three scenarios and the real error margin calculated on your own history. The engine runs and 1 credit is consumed. The range between the conservative and the optimistic scenario helps you decide how much stock to order with the information in front of you.
Erratic or Intermittent category per the SBC standard. Chronos-2 engine with confidence intervals calibrated on your own history.
Blue: Exceptional stability
Once the prediction has been generated, if the engine detects that your sales are so stable that the daily average is already a reliable reference, it tells you with an Exceptional stability notice. In that case, next time you can use that average directly and save the credit, or generate the forecast to confirm that the stability holds. This is information that appears after the prediction, not a state of the prior traffic light.
Triviality test: standard deviation below 5% over the last 30 days.
How it works
Install the app
From the Shopify App Store in seconds. No technical setup or external integrations. On install you receive 2 free credits to try the engine with no commitment.
Connect your sales
The app reads your order history directly from Shopify. Before each prediction the quality traffic light evaluates the data: if the history is not enough, the engine does not run and no credit is consumed. It is similar to a weather forecast: with very few data points any number would be made up.
Get your projection
Select the period, choose the metric and generate the prediction. You get three scenarios with real error margins. Next to the chart, a message evaluates the confidence of the result and, if your sales are so stable that the average alone suffices, you receive an Exceptional stability notice.
Coming soon
The app will be available on the Shopify App Store shortly.
Coming soon to ShopifyProfessional support included
Every merchant with credits has access to the integrated support system directly from the application.
Create categorised tickets with automatic diagnostics, attach screenshots if needed and receive a response within 24 business hours.
Your enquiry history is saved so you never have to repeat information.
Try Viral by ApisDom
Want to analyse your own data? With Viral you can upload any time series and get predictions with the same ApisDom technology. Social media, offline sales, web traffic.
Frequently asked questions
What is ApisDom Forecast and what is it for?
ApisDom Forecast is an application for Shopify stores that predicts how much you will sell in the coming days, weeks or months. It helps you decide how much stock to order from your supplier, when to launch a campaign and when to drop prices to clear inventory. It works on your store actual sales history, not on industry averages.
How do I know the forecast is reliable and not a made-up number?
Each forecast includes three scenarios (conservative, central, optimistic) and a real error margin calculated on your own store history. If your data is not sufficient for a reliable forecast, the app does not run it: a prior system, the quality traffic light, blocks the analysis and no credit is consumed. You only receive a forecast when there is a statistical basis to make it useful.
How much does it cost? Do I have to commit to a subscription?
There is no subscription. You only pay when you use the app, through a credit system that never expires: you buy a pack when you need it (from 14.99 USD), generate forecasts when you need them and the leftover credits wait in your account for next season. When you install the app you receive 2 free credits to try the engine with no commitment.
I just opened my store. Will it work for me now or do I have to wait?
If your store does not yet have enough sales history, the engine does not run the forecast and no credit is consumed. Your 2 free credits stay in your balance, waiting, until your store has enough data; we will then email you so you can use them. It is similar to a weather forecast: with very few data points any number would be made up, and that is not a responsible basis for business decisions.
Who is behind the technology? Is this real AI?
The prediction engine is Amazon Chronos-2, the time-series artificial intelligence model developed by Amazon Science. ApisDom has built a microservices layer on top of Chronos-2 that validates your data, manages quality, calculates confidence intervals and returns the real error margin measured on your history. The base technology is Amazon Science. The intelligence that adapts it to a Shopify store is ApisDom.
What happens to my data? Is it safe?
Your data is processed on servers in the European Union (Google Cloud, the Netherlands) and is never sold or shared with third parties. ApisDom Forecast does not store personal information about your customers: it only works with daily aggregated sales totals. We comply with the GDPR and you have a panel to export or delete your data at any time.